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Update , 3pm The magnitude 7.8 Kaikoura earthquake occurred on Monday 14th November http://www.geonet.org.nz/quakes/2016p858000. This story will be regularly updated with the probabilities of future aftershocks and possible scenarios following the Kaikoura earthquake.   In our previous updates, we provided scenarios for what might happen within the coming month.  We now move to scenarios for the coming year that  incorporate the information about slow-slip events into our scenarios.…
We are getting more information from our science reconnaissance teams and are sifting through the mountains of data to develop a better picture of this earthquake. We have new information about the fault ruptures, and have initial estimates on which faults were involved. Here is a catalogue of our latest stories. Latest Stories    What do these slow-slip events mean for future large earthquakes? http://info.geonet.org.nz/x/_4E5AQ   Kekerengu Fault has a Word to its Geologists http://info.geonet.…
Updated 3pm, 9/12/2016 This is an important, but difficult question that our experts here at GNS Science, along with Victoria University have been working on answering. The slow-slip events (or silent earthquakes) cover a large area of the plate boundary underneath the North Island and have made calculating the likelihood of future large aftershocks trickier. Although still very unlikely, we now estimate that the probability of a magnitude 7.8 or larger earthquake http://info.geonet.org.…

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